Match Prediction ?
Favoured: No clear favourite
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Low
Alaves
Ath Bilbao
57%
Form
43%
67%
Attack Strength
33%
42%
Defensive Strength
58%
50%
Head-to-Head
50%
43%
Goal Trend
57%
53.2%
Overall Edge
46.8%
Alaves vs Ath Bilbao looks like a balanced matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. There is no clear favourite from the baseline numbers, so this fixture is better treated as a tight game rather than a strong prediction. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
38%
Ath Bilbao to Win
Home: 33% Draw: 29% Away: 38%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.5 goals
Away advantage
Alaves scores 1.31 goals/game at home
Ath Bilbao concedes 1.81 goals/game away
Ath Bilbao concedes 1.81 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.6 goals
Moderate Scoring
Alaves: 1.2 scored / 1.5 conceded
Ath Bilbao: 1.1 scored / 1.5 conceded
Ath Bilbao: 1.1 scored / 1.5 conceded
Alaves
Ath Bilbao
16
League Pos
10
36
Points
41
1.09
PPG
1.24
1.15
Goals For
1.09
1.48
Goals Against
1.45
63.6%
BTTS %
51.5%
17 stronger by 2
DB Pwr ?
15
38%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
19%
W L D D W
Form
L W L L W
Injury & Availability
L. BoyeMuscle InjuryOut
C. ProtesoniMuscle InjuryOut
B. Prados DiazKnee InjuryOut
M. SannadiCoach's decisionOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-09-132025-2026Ath Bilbao0-1Alaves
2025-05-112024-2025Ath Bilbao1-0Alaves
2024-12-152024-2025Alaves1-1Ath Bilbao
2024-03-162023-2024Ath Bilbao2-0Alaves
2023-09-222023-2024Alaves0-2Ath Bilbao
⚡ Betting Angles
Tight H2H history — last 5 meetings averaged just 1.6 goals.