Win Probability (Market) ?
41%
Casa Pia to Win
Home: 41% Draw: 31% Away: 28%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.93 goals
Away advantage
Casa Pia scores 1.13 goals/game at home
Tondela concedes 2.07 goals/game away
Tondela concedes 2.07 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.6 goals
Moderate Scoring
Casa Pia: 0.9 scored / 1.8 conceded
Tondela: 0.7 scored / 1.7 conceded
Tondela: 0.7 scored / 1.7 conceded
Casa Pia
Tondela
16
League Pos
17
26
Points
22
0.84
PPG
0.71
0.94
Goals For
0.74
1.77
Goals Against
1.68
48.4%
BTTS %
35.5%
10 stronger by 4
DB Pwr ?
6
13%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
20%
L L D L D
Form
D L L D L
Injury & Availability
Casa PiaNo injury concerns reported
TondelaNo injury concerns reported
Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2025-12-212025-2026Tondela1-2Casa Pia
⚡ Betting Angles
Away defensive advantage: Tondela concedes only 2.07 goals/game away while Casa Pia scores 1.13 goals/game at home.
Elevated draw probability at 31% market-implied.