Home / Serie A / Pisa vs Lecce
Serie A
vs
2026-05-01 · 18:45
Latest Odds
HOME WIN
3.61
DRAW
3.13
AWAY WIN
2.32
Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Lecce
Expected: Very even matchup
Confidence: Medium
Pisa
Lecce
0%
Form
100%
50%
Attack Strength
50%
37%
Defensive Strength
63%
40%
Head-to-Head
60%
50%
Goal Trend
50%
44.2%
Overall Edge
55.8%

Pisa vs Lecce looks like a Lecce-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Lecce holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.

Win Probability (Market) ?
42%
Lecce to Win
Home: 27%  Draw: 31%  Away: 42%
Attack vs Defence ?
-0.88 goals
Away advantage
Pisa scores 0.47 goals/game at home
Lecce concedes 1.35 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.2 goals
Moderate Scoring
Pisa: 0.7 scored / 1.8 conceded
Lecce: 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded
Pisa
Lecce
20
League Pos
17
18
Points
29
0.53
PPG
0.85
0.71
Goals For
0.65
1.79
Goals Against
1.35
41.2%
BTTS %
35.3%
DB Pwr
6
12%
Home Win%
Away Win%
18%
L L L L L
Form
D D L L L
Injury & Availability
Pisa ?
D. DenoonAnkle InjuryOut
R. DurosinmiMuscle InjuryOut
M. MarinInjuryOut
M. TramoniMuscle InjuryOut
Lecce ?
F. MarchwińskiJumpers kneeOut
M. BerishaThigh InjuryOut
S. FofanaInactiveOut
K. GasparKnee InjuryOut
R. SottilBack InjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2Pisa
0Draws
3Lecce
1.6Avg Goals
2025-12-122025-2026Lecce1-0Pisa
2022-04-252021-2022Lecce2-0Pisa
2021-12-112021-2022Pisa1-0Lecce
2021-04-052020-2021Pisa0-1Lecce
2020-12-192020-2021Lecce0-3Pisa
⚡ Betting Angles
🛡Both teams trend low-scoring (Pisa 47.1% / Lecce 35.3%) — combined 41%. Under 2.5 has value.
Away defensive advantage: Lecce concedes only 1.35 goals/game away while Pisa scores 0.47 goals/game at home.
🛡Tight H2H history — last 5 meetings averaged just 1.6 goals.
📊Elevated draw probability at 31% market-implied.
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