Match Prediction ?
Favoured: Roma
Expected: Roma by 1–2 goals
Confidence: Medium
Roma
Fiorentina
53%
Form
47%
69%
Attack Strength
31%
25%
Defensive Strength
75%
62%
Head-to-Head
38%
44%
Goal Trend
56%
55.0%
Overall Edge
45.0%
Roma vs Fiorentina looks like a Roma-favoured matchup based on recent form, attacking strength, defensive strength, head-to-head data and goal trends. Roma holds a slight overall edge, though the gap between the sides is not large enough to treat this as a banker. This prediction should be used as general match context rather than a guaranteed outcome.
Win Probability (Market) ?
61%
Roma to Win
Home: 61% Draw: 23% Away: 16%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.12 goals
Evenly matched
Roma scores 1.59 goals/game at home
Fiorentina concedes 1.47 goals/game away
Fiorentina concedes 1.47 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.4 goals
Moderate Scoring
Roma: 1.4 scored / 0.9 conceded
Fiorentina: 1.1 scored / 1.3 conceded
Fiorentina: 1.1 scored / 1.3 conceded
Roma
Fiorentina
6
League Pos
15
61
Points
37
1.79
PPG
1.09
1.41
Goals For
1.12
0.85
Goals Against
1.32
35.3%
BTTS %
61.8%
66 stronger by 37
DB Pwr ?
29
65%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
24%
W D W L W
Form
D D W W D
Injury & Availability
Roma ?E. Boveheart problemsOut
E. Boveheart problemsOut
A. DovbykGroin InjuryOut
E. FergusonAnkle InjuryOut
L. PellegriniThigh InjuryOut
Fiorentina ?L. BalboInjuryOut
N. FortiniBack InjuryOut
M. KeanCalf InjuryOut
T. LampteyKnee InjuryOut
R. PiccoliMuscle InjuryOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-10-052025-2026Fiorentina1-2Roma
2025-05-042024-2025Roma1-0Fiorentina
2024-10-272024-2025Fiorentina5-1Roma
2024-03-102023-2024Fiorentina2-2Roma
2023-12-102023-2024Roma1-1Fiorentina
⚡ Betting Angles
Both teams trend low-scoring (Roma 35.3% / Fiorentina 52.9%) — combined 44%. Under 2.5 has value.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.2 goals across last 5 meetings.
Clear market favourite: Roma priced at 61% implied probability.