Win Probability (Market) ?
55%
Milan to Win
Home: 20% Draw: 24% Away: 55%
Attack vs Defence ?
+0.59 goals
Home advantage
Sassuolo scores 1.24 goals/game at home
Milan concedes 0.65 goals/game away
Milan concedes 0.65 goals/game away
Expected Goals ?
2.4 goals
Moderate Scoring
Sassuolo: 1.2 scored / 1.3 conceded
Milan: 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded
Milan: 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded
Sassuolo
Milan
10
League Pos
3
46
Points
67
1.35
PPG
1.97
1.21
Goals For
1.41
1.29
Goals Against
0.79
52.9%
BTTS %
44.1%
34
DB Pwr ?
72 stronger by 38
47%
Home Win%
—
—
Away Win%
59%
D W L W D
Form
D W L L W
Injury & Availability
Sassuolo ?D. BakolaKnee InjuryOut
D. BolocaMuscle InjuryOut
F. CandeKnee InjuryOut
E. PieragnoloKnee InjuryOut
Milan ?L. ModricBroken cheekboneOut
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2025-12-142025-2026Milan2-2Sassuolo
2024-04-142023-2024Sassuolo3-3Milan
2023-12-302023-2024Milan1-0Sassuolo
2023-01-292022-2023Milan2-5Sassuolo
2022-08-302022-2023Sassuolo0-0Milan
⚡ Betting Angles
Home attack advantage: Sassuolo scores 1.24 goals/game at home, Milan concedes 0.65 goals/game away — +0.59-goal advantage.
High-scoring H2H history — these two average 3.6 goals across last 5 meetings.